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 hurricane harvey


Public Health in Disaster: Emotional Health and Life Incidents Extraction during Hurricane Harvey

Hoang, Thomas, Nguyen, Quynh Anh, Nguyen, Long

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Countless disasters have resulted from climate change, causing severe damage to infrastructure and the economy. These disasters have significant societal impacts, necessitating mental health services for the millions affected. To prepare for and respond effectively to such events, it is important to understand people's emotions and the life incidents they experience before and after a disaster strikes. In this case study, we collected a dataset of approximately 400,000 public tweets related to the storm. Using a BERT-based model, we predicted the emotions associated with each tweet. To efficiently identify these topics, we utilized the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) technique for topic modeling, which allowed us to bypass manual content analysis and extract meaningful patterns from the data. However, rather than stopping at topic identification like previous methods \cite{math11244910}, we further refined our analysis by integrating Graph Neural Networks (GNN) and Large Language Models (LLM). The GNN was employed to generate embeddings and construct a similarity graph of the tweets, which was then used to optimize clustering. Subsequently, we used an LLM to automatically generate descriptive names for each event cluster, offering critical insights for disaster preparedness and response strategies.


Deep Neural Networks with 3D Point Clouds for Empirical Friction Measurements in Hydrodynamic Flood Models

Haces-Garcia, Francisco, Kotzamanis, Vasileios, Glennie, Craig, Rifai, Hanadi

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Friction is one of the cruxes of hydrodynamic modeling; flood conditions are highly sensitive to the Friction Factors (FFs) used to calculate momentum losses. However, empirical FFs are challenging to measure because they require laboratory experiments. Flood models often rely on surrogate observations (such as land use) to estimate FFs, introducing uncertainty. This research presents a laboratory-trained Deep Neural Network (DNN), trained using flume experiments with data augmentation techniques, to measure Manning's n based on Point Cloud data. The DNN was deployed on real-world lidar Point Clouds to directly measure Manning's n under regulatory and extreme storm events, showing improved prediction capabilities in both 1D and 2D hydrodynamic models. For 1D models, the lidar values decreased differences with regulatory models for in-channel water depth when compared to land cover values. For 1D/2D coupled models, the lidar values produced better agreement with flood extents measured from airborne imagery, while better matching flood insurance claim data for Hurricane Harvey. In both 1D and 1D/2D coupled models, lidar resulted in better agreement with validation gauges. For these reasons, the lidar measurements of Manning's n were found to improve both regulatory models and forecasts for extreme storm events, while simultaneously providing a pathway to standardize the measurement of FFs. Changing FFs significantly affected fluvial and pluvial flood models, while surge flooding was generally unaffected. Downstream flow conditions were found to change the importance of FFs to fluvial models, advancing the literature of friction in flood models. This research introduces a reliable, repeatable, and readily-accessible avenue to measure high-resolution FFs based on 3D point clouds, improving flood prediction, and removing uncertainty from hydrodynamic modeling.


MaxFloodCast: Ensemble Machine Learning Model for Predicting Peak Inundation Depth And Decoding Influencing Features

Lee, Cheng-Chun, Huang, Lipai, Antolini, Federico, Garcia, Matthew, Juanb, Andrew, Brody, Samuel D., Mostafavi, Ali

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Timely, accurate, and reliable information is essential for decision-makers, emergency managers, and infrastructure operators during flood events. This study demonstrates a proposed machine learning model, MaxFloodCast, trained on physics-based hydrodynamic simulations in Harris County, offers efficient and interpretable flood inundation depth predictions. Achieving an average R-squared of 0.949 and a Root Mean Square Error of 0.61 ft on unseen data, it proves reliable in forecasting peak flood inundation depths. Validated against Hurricane Harvey and Storm Imelda, MaxFloodCast shows the potential in supporting near-time floodplain management and emergency operations. The model's interpretability aids decision-makers in offering critical information to inform flood mitigation strategies, to prioritize areas with critical facilities and to examine how rainfall in other watersheds influences flood exposure in one area. The MaxFloodCast model enables accurate and interpretable inundation depth predictions while significantly reducing computational time, thereby supporting emergency response efforts and flood risk management more effectively.


Intelligent Agent for Hurricane Emergency Identification and Text Information Extraction from Streaming Social Media Big Data

Huang, Jingwei, Khallouli, Wael, Rabadi, Ghaith, Seck, Mamadou

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper presents our research on leveraging social media Big Data and AI to support hurricane disaster emergency response. The current practice of hurricane emergency response for rescue highly relies on emergency call centres. The more recent Hurricane Harvey event reveals the limitations of the current systems. We use Hurricane Harvey and the associated Houston flooding as the motivating scenario to conduct research and develop a prototype as a proof-of-concept of using an intelligent agent as a complementary role to support emergency centres in hurricane emergency response. This intelligent agent is used to collect real-time streaming tweets during a natural disaster event, to identify tweets requesting rescue, to extract key information such as address and associated geocode, and to visualize the extracted information in an interactive map in decision supports. Our experiment shows promising outcomes and the potential application of the research in support of hurricane emergency response.


High Temporal Resolution Rainfall Runoff Modelling Using Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) Networks

Li, Wei, Kiaghadi, Amin, Dawson, Clint N.

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Accurate and efficient models for rainfall runoff (RR) simulations are crucial for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven; i.e. they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the St. Venant (shallow water) equations. With the development of machine-learning techniques, we may now be able to emulate rainfall models using, for example, neural networks. In this study, a data-driven RR model using a sequence-to-sequence Long-short-Term-Memory (LSTM) network was constructed. The model was tested for a watershed in Houston, TX, known for severe flood events. The LSTM network's capability in learning long-term dependencies between the input and output of the network allowed modeling RR with high resolution in time (15 minutes). Using 10-years precipitation from 153 rainfall gages and river channel discharge data (more than 5.3 million data points), and by designing several numerical tests the developed model performance in predicting river discharge was tested. The model results were also compared with the output of a process-driven model Gridded Surface Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis (GSSHA). Moreover, physical consistency of the LSTM model was explored. The model results showed that the LSTM model was able to efficiently predict discharge and achieve good model performance. When compared to GSSHA, the data-driven model was more efficient and robust in terms of prediction and calibration. Interestingly, the performance of the LSTM model improved (test Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency from 0.666 to 0.942) when a selected subset of rainfall gages based on the model performance, were used as input instead of all rainfall gages.


Unsupervised Detection of Sub-events in Large Scale Disasters

Arachie, Chidubem, Gaur, Manas, Anzaroot, Sam, Groves, William, Zhang, Ke, Jaimes, Alejandro

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Social media plays a major role during and after major natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, large-scale fires, etc.), as people ``on the ground'' post useful information on what is actually happening. Given the large amounts of posts, a major challenge is identifying the information that is useful and actionable. Emergency responders are largely interested in finding out what events are taking place so they can properly plan and deploy resources. In this paper we address the problem of automatically identifying important sub-events (within a large-scale emergency ``event'', such as a hurricane). In particular, we present a novel, unsupervised learning framework to detect sub-events in Tweets for retrospective crisis analysis. We first extract noun-verb pairs and phrases from raw tweets as sub-event candidates. Then, we learn a semantic embedding of extracted noun-verb pairs and phrases, and rank them against a crisis-specific ontology. We filter out noisy and irrelevant information then cluster the noun-verb pairs and phrases so that the top-ranked ones describe the most important sub-events. Through quantitative experiments on two large crisis data sets (Hurricane Harvey and the 2015 Nepal Earthquake), we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach over the state-of-the-art. Our qualitative evaluation shows better performance compared to our baseline.


Changing the Landscape of the Insurance Market

IEEE Spectrum Robotics

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), more commonly known as drones, are growing at a rapid rate for both consumer and professional markets. Market research firm IHS Markit forecasts the professional drone market will manage a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 77.1% through 2020 driven by industries such as agriculture, energy and construction using the technology for surveying, mapping, planning and more. Meanwhile, the consumer drone market will maintain a CAGR of 22.1% through 2020 with companies such as DJI, Parrot and 3D Robotics driving the market with a wide range of devices for photography, recreational use and racing. While these markets will be the main drivers for the next few years, one industry that isn't discussed often as a main driver is the insurance market. However, according to professional services company PwC, the addressable market of drone powered solutions in the insurance industry is valued at $6.8 billion.


Coordinating Disaster Emergency Response with Heuristic Reinforcement Learning

Nguyen, Long, Yang, Zhou, Zhu, Jiazhen, Li, Jia, Jin, Fang

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Abstract--A crucial and time-sensitive task when any disaster occurs is to rescue victims and distribute resources to the right groups and locations. This task is challenging in populated urban areas, due to the huge burst of help requests generated in a very short period. To improve the efficiency of the emergency response in the immediate aftermath of a disaster, we propose a heuristic multi-agent reinforcement learning scheduling algorithm, named as ResQ, which can effectively schedule the rapid deployment of volunteers to rescue victims in dynamic settings. The core concept is to quickly identify victims and volunteers from social network data and then schedule rescue parties with an adaptive learning algorithm. This framework performs two key functions: 1) identify trapped victims and rescue volunteers, and 2) optimize the volunteers' rescue strategy in a complex time-sensitive environment. The proposed ResQ algorithm can speed up the training processes through a heuristic function which reduces the state-action space by identifying the set of particular actions over others. Experimental results showed that the proposed heuristic multi-agent reinforcement learning based scheduling outperforms several state-of-art methods, in terms of both reward rate and response times. Natural disasters have always posed a critical threat to human beings, often being accompanied by major loss of life and property damage. In recent years, we have witnessed more frequent and intense natural disasters all over the world.


How AI Could Help People Dodge Monster Storms NVIDIA Blog

#artificialintelligence

If you wonder why we need a better way to predict hurricanes, just ask the people of Houston. Authorities knew Hurricane Harvey was heading to south Texas, but forecasters couldn't say precisely which areas would be hardest hit. So, most Houstonians stayed put. The consequences: more than 75 deaths, 30,000 people in shelters and tens of thousands who needed rescuing. And Harvey was just the start.


Hurricane Harvey and the transformative power of commercial UAVs - TotalCIO

@machinelearnbot

For an example of the transformative role drones -- or unmanned aerial vehicles, as they're known in the industry -- will play across industries, just consider, said Michael Huerta, administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration, what happened after Hurricane Harvey struck Texas last week. Looking to establish accountability across disparate project teams? Trying to automate processes or allow for lean methodology support? Hoping to enable business consequence modeling or real-time reporting? If you answered'yes' to any of these questions, then you need to download this comprehensive, 68-page PDF guide on selecting, managing, and tracking IT projects for superior service delivery. You forgot to provide an Email Address.